Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 4.796649 5.204332 5.646012 6.162800 6.754395 7.414729 8.213554
2025-03-30 4.047884 4.587539 5.213256 6.002677 6.987306 8.196479 9.829410
2025-04-06 3.582858 4.174650 4.891722 5.843708 7.105481 8.769539 11.222450
2025-04-13 3.255315 3.870967 4.641814 5.705958 7.185979 9.256221 12.549309
2025-04-20 3.027737 3.661857 4.478055 5.643384 7.334816 9.832113 14.106301
2025-04-27 2.913700 3.584042 4.471235 5.782671 7.774212 10.894040 16.703438
2025-05-04 2.815642 3.515805 4.465895 5.915660 8.212889 12.025404 19.766792
2025-05-11 2.684652 3.390846 4.367708 5.895895 8.401337 12.762826 22.311587
2025-05-18 2.563082 3.269537 4.263261 5.852432 8.539189 13.428121 24.942945
2025-05-25 2.417780 3.105351 4.083812 5.672951 8.419218 13.580628 26.430451
2025-06-01 2.301285 2.975787 3.946795 5.548476 8.378818 13.879580 28.414513
2025-06-08 2.231242 2.909338 3.899562 5.564935 8.592332 14.738040 32.342679
2025-06-15 2.182318 2.875515 3.906267 5.683519 9.036309 16.254815 39.467769
2025-06-22 2.073068 2.747055 3.759130 5.528220 8.935482 16.523362 42.701329
2025-06-29 1.975998 2.632093 3.626279 5.386393 8.843247 16.795808 46.237314
2025-07-06 1.891159 2.531529 3.510286 5.264358 8.775141 17.115008 50.319151
2025-07-13 1.826513 2.458813 3.434844 5.208911 8.839301 17.800666 56.894538
2025-07-20 1.801807 2.446315 3.456262 5.332254 9.306543 19.741994 73.094812
2025-07-27 1.777231 2.432494 3.474102 5.449851 9.780745 21.893726 96.005019
2025-08-03 1.729964 2.380445 3.424323 5.432384 9.937763 23.111819 115.760001
2025-08-10 1.682105 2.325402 3.366396 5.393961 10.039062 24.188851 138.574070
2025-08-17 1.616856 2.239982 3.252209 5.235108 9.822344 24.070065 147.659845
2025-08-24 1.563180 2.171564 3.164727 5.124761 9.716831 24.349098 164.285907